Florida Primary Blog: Post-Mortem
By reasonableview January 31, 2012 1 Comment

10 very long days ago, I made three predictions regarding the Florida Primary: 1. Rick Santorum would benefit from the Romney-Gingrich scrum and finish strong. 2. Mitt Romney was in serious trouble. 3. Newt Gingrich would finish with between 23 and 43 percent of the vote. .333 is a great batting average in baseball, but not so great in prognosticating, especially when the correct guess had plenty of margin (though Newt did fall right in the middle of the range). What happened? Romney actually had enough money to "carpet bomb" Florida. One of my assumptions was that the immense cost of saturating the state would mean even Romney would face limitations. Incorrect. He spent $17 million and it worked in three ways: First, much as when he went nuclear on Newt in Iowa, Romney managed to throw Gingrich completely off message, turning the Conservative Warrior of South Carolina into the Great Whiner of Florida. Second, while Santorum seemed like the comparative adult in the … [Read More...]
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